RESHUFFLE An interactive companion to the book

Procurement Observatory · Ecosystem

How are new competitors entering the procurement journey?

Procurement agents expand from inside the buying process. Payments platforms, marketplaces, contract systems and systems of record enter from positions they already control. The direction in which they move shows where new competitive contests may form.

  1. Need
  2. Define
  3. Find
  4. Compare
  5. Check
  6. Negotiate
  7. Approve
  8. Order
  9. Pay

The strongest future competitor may not begin as a procurement company - or even begin with an agent.

The reframe

The competition is not only between procurement agents.

Procurement providers compete by connecting more of the buying journey. Adjacent platforms compete differently. They begin with spend data, supplier access, contractual rules, transaction execution or official records, then use that position to enter procurement.

Most demonstrated lateral positions are currently created through APIs, channel rules and transaction infrastructure rather than agents. These positions still matter because they provide the data, permissions and customer relationships from which agents could later expand.

A competitor does not need to own final approval to influence the purchase. It can gain power by controlling supplier access, the options presented, the rules applied, execution or the record of what occurred.

This is why payments platforms, marketplaces, contract systems and systems of record can enter procurement from the side. They already control one of the capabilities surrounding the decision.

Procurement agents

Lateral attackers

Begin inside procurement

Begin with an adjacent position

Expand by connecting stages

Enter through data, access, rules or execution

Seek to coordinate the journey

Seek to extend an existing source of control

The competitive field

Different players enter at different points and move in different directions.

Select demonstrated activity, potential movements or both. Choose a player or stage to inspect the evidence and the possible next move.

Show

Starting position Procurement-native Lateral

Movement

Nine stages, Need to Pay - scroll to see them all →

Need
Define
Find
Compare
Check
Negotiate
Approve
Order
Pay
Starting position.
Starting position.
Starting position.
Starting position.
Starting position.
Starting position.
Starting position.

Select demonstrated or potential movements to inspect the competitive field.

Procurement agents expand by connecting stages inside the buying journey. Lateral attackers use an existing advantage in data, supplier access, contracts, transactions or records to enter it from the side.

Most demonstrated lateral positions are currently created through APIs, channel rules, transaction infrastructure and systems of record rather than agents. These positions still matter because they may provide the data, permissions and customer relationships from which agents can later expand.

Procurement-native ↔ Outwards · starts at Define 21 offerings, including Globality, JAGGAER, Levelpath, Vic.ai and Icertis 9 interactions

Expand by connecting work across the buying journey.

No single offering is shown covering all nine stages.

Lateral ← Upstream · starts at Pay Ramp · Brex 2 interactions

Use transaction data and execution to move upstream into sourcing.

The employee still selects the supplier and the firm still approves the purchase.

Procurement agents and payments both do the same job at Define, Find and Compare.

If the proposed movement happens, they would also do the same job at Need.

They also both appear at Order, doing different things.

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Lateral → Downstream · starts at Find AWS Marketplace · Microsoft commercial marketplace 4 interactions

Use supplier access and channel rules to move downstream into approval and ordering.

Channel rules change which approval process a purchase enters, not whether it may proceed.

Procurement agents and marketplaces both do the same job at Negotiate.

If the proposed movement happens, they would also do the same job at Find.

They also both appear at Approve and Order, doing different things.

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Lateral ↔ Both directions, proposed · starts at Approve Ironclad 1 interaction

Use contractual terms and approval workflow to expand towards policy and execution.

The approval is recorded through an interface. No agent is shown making the decision.

They also both appear at Approve, doing different things.

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Lateral ← Upstream · starts at Pay BILL · Microsoft Entra 1 interaction

Use transaction state and official records to move upstream into approval.

Execution authority is demonstrated. Deciding which purchases need approval is not.

Procurement agents and systems of record both do the same job at Pay.

They also both appear at Approve, doing different things.

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Watching → Into procurement, proposed · starts at Need CloudEagle.ai · Zylo · Torii, and operations, maintenance and field systems

Could turn an operational event directly into a purchase process.

No operational-platform entry is demonstrated inside the nine stages.

Watching ← Seller side inwards, proposed · starts at Find No seller-side actor in the searched evidence

Could adapt offers and terms in response to buyer-side agents.

No buyer-agent versus seller-agent adaptation appears in the evidence.

Select any mark to inspect that cell: what is happening, why that player can act there, and what the evidence does not show.

Procurement agents × Need

Oracle picks up the request and carries it forward

Demonstrated

Competitive maturity at Need: Emerging

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

Agents pick up a request or an event at the need and carry it into later stages.

Example

Oracle Fusion's agentic applications begin at the need and carry it through to the order. Five of the interactions examined start here. Across the 21 interactions examined, 5 start here.

Why it can enter here

These providers already sit inside the buying process. They hold the request, the workflow and the approval trail, so reaching the next stage extends what they run rather than crossing into someone else's system.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Varies by interaction

Some examined interactions read a need that already exists and carry it forward. None is shown deciding that a purchase is required.

What the individual interactions demonstrate

Across these interactions the business still decides that something is needed. No single offering is shown controlling the complete journey.

Where it must move next

For any one provider to move beyond reading the need, it would have to propose what the request should ask for rather than relay it.

What this could lead to

If more requests enter through an agent, the shape of the request is set by software before procurement reads it.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated emerging

Two players propose entering the need and neither is demonstrated there. The work shown at this stage is done by procurement's own providers.

This rating considers every player active at Need.

What the evidence does not show

This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 5 interactions that touch this stage, 2 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 2 follow a fixed rule, and 1 are not settled either way by the sources.

Competitive collision, proposed with payments

Five of the 21 interactions begin at the need, picking up a request and carrying it into later stages.

Payments here

Proposed: the platform would shape what the request asks for before procurement sees it.

What both may contest

Turning a stated need into the request the rest of the process works from. Both sides would produce the same thing, so a buyer would use one or the other.

Evidence and method

Source and record

pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Procurement agents × Define

Globality turns a conversation with the requester into the brief

Demonstrated

Competitive maturity at Define: Forming

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

Agents turn a stated need into a written requirement and hand that requirement onward.

Example

Globality's Glo questions the requester, defines the requirement into a concise brief and determines which suppliers reach the buyer's view. Across the 21 interactions examined, 7 start here.

Why it can enter here

These providers already sit inside the buying process. They hold the request, the workflow and the approval trail, so reaching the next stage extends what they run rather than crossing into someone else's system.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Varies by interaction

Some examined interactions draft the requirement from a stated need. The requester can still say it is wrong.

What the individual interactions demonstrate

Across these interactions the business keeps the decision about what it actually needs. No single offering is shown controlling the complete journey.

Where it must move next

For any one provider to control specification, its requirement would have to be the one suppliers must answer.

What this could lead to

The document that tells suppliers what to bid on could be written by the provider rather than by the buyer.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated forming

Procurement agents already turn a need into a written requirement, and Ramp now generates the RFx that goes to suppliers. Both produce the same document.

This rating considers every player active at Define, not only procurement agents.

What the evidence does not show

This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 7 interactions that touch this stage, 6 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 0 follow a fixed rule, and 1 are not settled either way by the sources.

Competitive collision, demonstrated with payments

Seven of the 21 interactions begin at Define, turning a stated need into a written requirement.

Payments here

Ramp's agents generate the RFx that goes to suppliers.

What both may contest

Writing the requirement suppliers respond to. Both sides produce that document, so a buyer needs one of them and not both.

Evidence and method

Source and record

pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Procurement agents × Find

3D Spark takes a requirement and returns the suppliers who can meet it

Demonstrated

Competitive maturity at Find: Forming

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

Agents assemble the set of suppliers a buyer will look at.

Example

3D Spark takes a stated requirement and returns viable suppliers for it. Promena and Resilinc reach this stage from a requirement and from a risk check. Across the 21 interactions examined, 3 arrive here.

Why it can enter here

These providers already sit inside the buying process. They hold the request, the workflow and the approval trail, so reaching the next stage extends what they run rather than crossing into someone else's system.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Varies by interaction

Some examined interactions assemble the supplier set a buyer looks at. The buyer decides which of them to pursue.

What the individual interactions demonstrate

Across these interactions the buyer keeps the decision about who is invited. No single offering is shown controlling the complete journey.

Where it must move next

For any one provider to control discovery, buyers would have to stop looking outside the set it assembles.

What this could lead to

The set a buyer chooses from could be assembled by the provider, and what stays out of it is not visible.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated forming

Procurement agents already assemble the supplier set, and Ramp now researches suppliers from its own vendor and payment history. Both produce the same shortlist, and three further players propose entering.

This rating considers every player active at Find, not only procurement agents.

What the evidence does not show

This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 3 interactions that touch this stage, 2 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 0 follow a fixed rule, and 1 are not settled either way by the sources.

Competitive collision, demonstrated with payments

Three interactions arrive at Find, assembling the supplier set a buyer will look at.

Payments here

Ramp's agents research supplier options from the vendor and transaction history the platform holds.

What both may contest

Assembling the supplier set. Both sides do it, from different data, and a buyer chooses whose set to look at.

Competitive collision, proposed with marketplaces

Three interactions arrive at Find, assembling the supplier set a buyer will look at.

Marketplaces here

Proposed: channel economics would narrow the set to suppliers listed on the marketplace.

What both may contest

Deciding which suppliers reach the buyer's consideration set. Both would determine the same set, by different means.

Evidence and method

Source and record

pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Procurement agents × Compare

JAGGAER carries a requirement into a ranked comparison

Demonstrated

Competitive maturity at Compare: Forming

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

Agents compare supplier options and rank them for the buyer.

Example

JAGGAER carries a requirement into a supplier evaluation. Levelpath and LightSource do the same from their own starting points. Across the 21 interactions examined, 1 start here and 3 arrive here.

Why it can enter here

These providers already sit inside the buying process. They hold the request, the workflow and the approval trail, so reaching the next stage extends what they run rather than crossing into someone else's system.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Varies by interaction

Some examined interactions rank the options for the buyer. Someone else picks from the ranking.

What the individual interactions demonstrate

Across these interactions the buyer keeps the decision about which supplier wins. No single offering is shown controlling the complete journey.

Where it must move next

For any one provider to control the choice, its ranking would have to determine the winner rather than order the candidates.

What this could lead to

The ranking a buyer sees could be produced by the provider that also prepared the requirement.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated forming

Procurement agents already evaluate suppliers, while Ramp now performs important parts of supplier research and comparison.

This rating considers every player active at Compare, not only procurement agents.

What the evidence does not show

This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 4 interactions that touch this stage, 3 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 1 follow a fixed rule, and 0 are not settled either way by the sources.

Competitive collision, demonstrated with payments

Three interactions arrive at Compare and one begins there, ranking options for the buyer.

Payments here

Ramp's agents score supplier responses before the employee selects a vendor.

What both may contest

Producing the comparison the buyer decides on. Both sides score the same responses, so the buyer relies on one.

Evidence and method

Source and record

pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Procurement agents × Check

Vic.ai runs the policy check and keeps going

Demonstrated

Competitive maturity at Check: Uncontested

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

Agents check a request against policy and carry the checked request onward.

Example

Vic.ai starts at the constraint check and carries an invoice through to payment. Corcentric and VERSO also begin their work here. Across the 21 interactions examined, 4 start here and 1 arrive here.

Why it can enter here

These providers already sit inside the buying process. They hold the request, the workflow and the approval trail, so reaching the next stage extends what they run rather than crossing into someone else's system.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Varies by interaction

Some examined interactions apply the firm's rules to a request and carry the result forward. None is shown refusing a request outright.

What the individual interactions demonstrate

Across these interactions the firm's own policy, and the people who grant exceptions to it, keep the binding decision. No single offering is shown controlling the complete journey.

Where it must move next

For any one provider to control the check, its verdict would have to stop a request that fails rather than flag it.

What this could lead to

The policy check could move from a person reading a rule to software applying one.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated uncontested

No lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the constraint check. Nothing outside procurement is contesting this stage.

This rating considers every player active at Check.

What the evidence does not show

This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 5 interactions that touch this stage, 2 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 1 follow a fixed rule, and 2 are not settled either way by the sources.

Evidence and method

Source and record

pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Procurement agents × Negotiate

Workday drafts and revises the terms before an approver sees them

Demonstrated

Competitive maturity at Negotiate: Forming

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

Agents draft, revise or price terms and pass them to an approver.

Example

Workday's contract negotiation agent revises terms and passes them to an approver. Vertice and Arkestro price and re-price within this stage. Across the 21 interactions examined, 3 start here and 3 arrive here.

Why it can enter here

These providers already sit inside the buying process. They hold the request, the workflow and the approval trail, so reaching the next stage extends what they run rather than crossing into someone else's system.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Varies by interaction

Some examined interactions compose and revise terms. A person still agrees them.

What the individual interactions demonstrate

Across these interactions a person keeps the authority to bind the firm to terms, and nothing in this research shows any party granting that authority to an agent. No single offering is shown controlling the complete journey.

Where it must move next

For any one provider to control terms, it would need a mandate to bind its client, which nothing here establishes.

What this could lead to

Terms could start to be composed by software, with a person confirming rather than composing.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated forming

Procurement agents draft and price terms, and AWS Marketplace generates the priced offer from the seller's rate card. Both compose the offer a buyer receives.

This rating considers every player active at Negotiate, not only procurement agents.

What the evidence does not show

This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 6 interactions that touch this stage, 6 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 0 follow a fixed rule, and 0 are not settled either way by the sources.

Competitive collision, demonstrated with marketplaces

Three interactions begin at Negotiate and three arrive there, drafting, revising or pricing terms.

Marketplaces here

AWS Marketplace generates the private offer automatically from the seller's rate card.

What both may contest

Producing the priced offer. Both sides compose it, so a buyer gets the offer from one or the other.

Evidence and method

Source and record

pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Procurement agents × Approve

Stampli hands the approver a decision that is already prepared

Demonstrated

Competitive maturity at Approve: Emerging

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

Agents deliver a prepared decision to the person who approves it.

Example

Stampli's Billy the Bot carries a request from the need to the approval, so the approver receives a decision that has already been assembled. Across the 21 interactions examined, 7 arrive here.

Why it can enter here

These providers already sit inside the buying process. They hold the request, the workflow and the approval trail, so reaching the next stage extends what they run rather than crossing into someone else's system.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Varies by interaction

Some examined interactions assemble what the approver decides on. The approver still decides.

What the individual interactions demonstrate

Across these interactions a person keeps the approval, and the human gate is recorded as required. No single offering is shown controlling the complete journey.

Where it must move next

For any one provider to control approval, the prepared decision would have to become the decision.

What this could lead to

The approver could keep the decision and lose sight of how the options were narrowed.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated emerging

Three lateral players act on the approval from different directions, and none of them does the procurement agent's job. The clearest case applies to two product classes only.

This rating considers every player active at Approve.

What the evidence does not show

This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 7 interactions that touch this stage, 4 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 2 follow a fixed rule, and 1 are not settled either way by the sources.

Shared stage with marketplaces

Seven of the 21 interactions arrive at Approve, delivering a prepared decision to the approver.

Marketplaces here

A marketplace setting decides whether the firm's approval step is reached at all.

Why this is not a contest

Different functions. The agent prepares what an approver decides on; the marketplace decides whether an approval is required. A buyer could have both, and would still have each doing its own thing.

Shared stage with contracts

Seven of the 21 interactions arrive at Approve, delivering a prepared decision to the approver.

Contracts here

A permitted client can mark the contract approval complete through the platform's interface.

Why this is not a contest

Different functions. The agent prepares the decision; the contract platform records that it was made. Nothing shows either doing the other's part.

Shared stage with systems of record

Seven of the 21 interactions arrive at Approve, delivering a prepared decision to the approver.

Systems of record here

Proposed: the ledger threshold would decide whether an approval is required at all.

Why this is not a contest

Different functions. The agent prepares an approval; the ledger would decide whether one is needed. One is a step in the decision, the other is a rule about the step.

Evidence and method

Source and record

pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Procurement agents × Order

Oracle turns the approved decision into the order

Demonstrated

Competitive maturity at Order: Emerging

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

Agents turn an approved decision into an order.

Example

Oracle Fusion and Vroozi both carry a request through to the order. Duvo reaches the order and works back to the approval. Across the 21 interactions examined, 1 start here and 2 arrive here.

Why it can enter here

These providers already sit inside the buying process. They hold the request, the workflow and the approval trail, so reaching the next stage extends what they run rather than crossing into someone else's system.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Varies by interaction

Some examined interactions execute the order, but no single offering is shown controlling the complete journey.

What the individual interactions demonstrate

Where an interaction places the order, the purchase order commits the firm to the supplier. That is a property of particular interactions: no single offering is shown controlling the complete journey.

Where it must move next

For any one provider to hold this position across the journey, it would have to carry the same request from the need through to the order.

What this could lead to

Ordering could become a step the provider completes rather than one procurement performs.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated emerging

Two lateral players act on what the order becomes, one issuing the instrument and one holding the agreement, and neither replaces creating the order itself.

This rating considers every player active at Order.

What the evidence does not show

This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 3 interactions that touch this stage, 2 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 1 follow a fixed rule, and 0 are not settled either way by the sources.

Shared stage with payments

Two interactions arrive at Order and one begins there, turning an approved decision into an order.

Payments here

Ramp creates a virtual card against the approved order; Brex can decline the transaction at authorisation.

Why this is not a contest

Different functions on different objects. The agent creates the order; the payments platform issues the instrument the order is paid with. Neither replaces the other.

Shared stage with marketplaces

Two interactions arrive at Order and one begins there.

Marketplaces here

The transaction completes on the marketplace and the agreement is created and held there.

Why this is not a contest

Different objects. The agent creates the firm's purchase order; the marketplace creates the agreement the order points at. The record splits rather than being competed for.

Evidence and method

Source and record

pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Procurement agents × Pay

Vic.ai carries an approved invoice through to payment

Demonstrated

Competitive maturity at Pay: Forming

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

Agents carry an approved obligation through to payment.

Example

Vic.ai carries an invoice from the policy check through to payment. Moss runs the same span from the original request. Across the 21 interactions examined, 2 arrive here.

Why it can enter here

These providers already sit inside the buying process. They hold the request, the workflow and the approval trail, so reaching the next stage extends what they run rather than crossing into someone else's system.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Varies by interaction

Some examined interactions execute the payment, but no single offering is shown controlling the complete journey.

What the individual interactions demonstrate

Where an interaction releases the payment, that payment discharges the obligation. That is a property of particular interactions: no single offering is shown controlling the complete journey.

Where it must move next

For any one provider to hold this position across the journey, it would have to carry the same obligation from the requirement through to payment.

What this could lead to

The provider could hold the record of what was bought and what was paid.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated forming

Procurement agents carry an approved obligation through to payment, and BILL can execute the payment itself. Both run the same step.

This rating considers every player active at Pay, not only procurement agents.

What the evidence does not show

This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 2 interactions that touch this stage, 1 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 1 follow a fixed rule, and 0 are not settled either way by the sources.

Competitive collision, demonstrated with systems of record

Two interactions arrive at Pay, carrying an approved obligation through to payment.

Systems of record here

An authorized administrator can pay a bill despite the configured approval policy.

What both may contest

Carrying an approved obligation through to payment. Both sides execute the payment, so a buyer runs accounts payable on one of them.

Evidence and method

Source and record

pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Payments × Need

A spend platform could shape the request before procurement sees it

Potential movement

Competitive maturity at Need: Emerging

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

The platform could shape what a request asks for before procurement sees it.

Example scenario

An employee raises a request inside the spend platform. The platform reads the vendor and transaction history it already holds and proposes what the request should ask for, so the requirement reaches procurement already narrowed.

Why it can enter here

The intake and approval workflow runs on the payments platform, so the request reaches the platform before it reaches procurement.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Influence point

If this happened, the platform would shape what the request asks for while the business still decided that something was needed.

Who keeps the binding decision

The requester would keep the decision that a purchase is required at all.

Where it must move next

To control demand, the platform would need the request it proposes to be the request that proceeds, which means procurement accepting requirements it did not write.

What this could lead to

The shape of a purchase could be set by software before procurement reads it.

What happens instead if it does not

Requests keep being written in a procurement system the platform never sees, and the platform receives a requirement it had no part in shaping.

Why this matters to a buyer

If demand is shaped where it is raised, the system a firm lets employees raise requests in becomes a competitive position, not an administrative choice.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated emerging

Two players propose entering the need and neither is demonstrated there. The work shown at this stage is done by procurement's own providers.

This rating considers every player active at Need. The selected payments movement remains a proposition.

What must be true

  • Requests are raised inside the spend platform rather than in a procurement system.
  • The platform's vendor and transaction history is good enough to propose a requirement.
  • Buyers accept a requirement the platform helped write.

What could prevent it

  • Nothing in the evidence shows the platform acting at the need. A person still states it.
  • Procurement writes the requirement in its own system and the platform never sees it.
  • The business owner, not the platform, decides what is needed.

What the evidence does not show

This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

Competitive collision, proposed with procurement agents

Five of the 21 interactions begin at the need, picking up a request and carrying it into later stages.

Payments here

Proposed: the platform would shape what the request asks for before procurement sees it.

What both may contest

Turning a stated need into the request the rest of the process works from. Both sides would produce the same thing, so a buyer would use one or the other.

Evidence and method

Source and record

LA-SUP-RAMPA-EV-01 · 2026-04-29 · coded cross-stage over Need, Define, Find and Compare · derivation D-RAMPA-1 maps the three named operations; Need carries none, so it is drawn as a proposition · population B, supplemental.

Derivation

D-RAMPA-1. ONE interaction spanning three stages. It is not three events, three offerings or three independent observations, and no figure anywhere may count it as more than one.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Payments × Define

Ramp is writing the document suppliers bid on

Demonstrated

Competitive maturity at Define: Forming

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

The platform writes the request that goes out to suppliers.

Example

Ramp's procurement agents generate the RFx sent to suppliers, from a request that was raised inside the spend platform.

Why it can enter here

Ramp already holds the intake and approval workflow the request arrives in, so it has the request before anyone drafts a solicitation.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Influence point

Ramp drafts what suppliers are asked for, and the buyer can change it before it goes out.

Who keeps the binding decision

The buyer keeps the decision about what the firm is actually buying.

Where it must move next

To control what is bought, Ramp's requirement would have to become the one suppliers must answer, either because the buyer cannot easily rewrite it or because a policy rule makes it the approved form.

What this could lead to

The document that tells suppliers what to bid on could be written by a payments platform rather than by the buyer.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated forming

Procurement agents already turn a need into a written requirement, and Ramp now generates the RFx that goes to suppliers. Both produce the same document.

This rating considers every player active at Define.

What the evidence does not show

The evidence does not show the requirement going out unchanged, and it does not show Ramp deciding what the firm needs.

Competitive collision, demonstrated with procurement agents

Seven of the 21 interactions begin at Define, turning a stated need into a written requirement.

Payments here

Ramp's agents generate the RFx that goes to suppliers.

What both may contest

Writing the requirement suppliers respond to. Both sides produce that document, so a buyer needs one of them and not both.

Evidence and method

Source and record

LA-SUP-RAMPA-EV-01 · 2026-04-29 · `procurement_power_acquired: specification` · generally available · E2-shipped-capability · source LA-SRC-018 · population B.

Derivation

D-RAMPA-1. ONE interaction spanning three stages. It is not three events, three offerings or three independent observations, and no figure anywhere may count it as more than one.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Payments × Find

Ramp is building the supplier shortlist from payment history

Demonstrated

Competitive maturity at Find: Forming

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

The platform researches which suppliers the buyer will look at.

Example

Ramp's procurement agents research supplier options for the request, using the vendor and transaction history the platform already holds.

Why it can enter here

Ramp sees vendor, invoice and spend information for purchases the firm has already made. That is a supplier list in everything but name.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Influence point

Ramp decides which suppliers appear, and the buyer decides which of them to pursue.

Who keeps the binding decision

The buyer keeps the decision about who is invited.

Where it must move next

To control discovery, Ramp would need buyers to stop looking outside the set it assembles, either through a preferred-supplier rule or because the set is good enough that nobody checks.

What this could lead to

The set a buyer chooses from could be assembled by the platform that will also execute the payment.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated forming

Procurement agents already assemble the supplier set, and Ramp now researches suppliers from its own vendor and payment history. Both produce the same shortlist, and three further players propose entering.

This rating considers every player active at Find.

What the evidence does not show

The evidence comes from Ramp's own announcement. The one named customer describes requests being routed from intake through to invoice approval, not the supplier research itself.

Competitive collision, demonstrated with procurement agents

Three interactions arrive at Find, assembling the supplier set a buyer will look at.

Payments here

Ramp's agents research supplier options from the vendor and transaction history the platform holds.

What both may contest

Assembling the supplier set. Both sides do it, from different data, and a buyer chooses whose set to look at.

Evidence and method

Source and record

LA-SUP-RAMPA-EV-01 · `operation` · `native_object: payment-credential`.

Derivation

D-RAMPA-1. ONE interaction spanning three stages. It is not three events, three offerings or three independent observations, and no figure anywhere may count it as more than one.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Payments × Compare

Ramp is moving from payment data into supplier evaluation

Demonstrated

Competitive maturity at Compare: Forming

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

The platform scores the proposals suppliers send back.

Example

Ramp can research suppliers, generate an RFx and score proposals. The employee still selects the winning supplier and the firm's stakeholders approve the purchase.

Why it can enter here

Ramp already sees vendor, payment, contract and spend information. That data can support supplier research, price comparison and proposal scoring.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Influence point

Ramp can affect which suppliers look attractive, but its recommendation does not determine the winner.

Who keeps the binding decision

The employee selects the winning supplier and the firm's stakeholders approve the purchase.

Where it must move next

To control the supplier decision, Ramp would need its evaluation to determine the selected supplier or become binding through an approval rule. Alternatively, it can gain a different form of control by connecting the approved decision directly to payment execution.

What this could lead to

Ramp could connect supplier evaluation with transaction execution, making sourcing part of a broader finance and spend platform.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated forming

Procurement agents already evaluate suppliers, while Ramp now performs important parts of supplier research and comparison.

This rating considers every player active at Compare.

What the evidence does not show

The evidence does not show one Ramp agent controlling the complete process. It also does not show Ramp selecting or approving the winning supplier.

Competitive collision, demonstrated with procurement agents

Three interactions arrive at Compare and one begins there, ranking options for the buyer.

Payments here

Ramp's agents score supplier responses before the employee selects a vendor.

What both may contest

Producing the comparison the buyer decides on. Both sides score the same responses, so the buyer relies on one.

Evidence and method

Source and record

LA-SUP-RAMPA-EV-01 · `human_gate: required-and-evidenced` · `agenticity_level` 2.

Derivation

D-RAMPA-1. ONE interaction spanning three stages. It is not three events, three offerings or three independent observations, and no figure anywhere may count it as more than one.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Payments × Order

Ramp and Brex hold the instrument the purchase runs through

Demonstrated Documented, but not established as agentic

Competitive maturity at Order: Emerging

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

The platform issues the card the approved purchase is made on, and can stop the transaction at the moment of payment.

Example

On approval of a purchase order request, Ramp creates a virtual card whose limit is set from the order total and updates as the order value changes. Brex declines a transaction at authorisation when it breaches a configured limit or policy.

Why it can enter here

Card issuance and spend controls are the platform's own product. The credential is an object it already owns, so attaching it to an approved order needs nothing new.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Control point

The purchase cannot complete without the credential the platform issues, and Brex can refuse the transaction outright at the moment it is presented.

The binding mechanism

The binding mechanism is the payment credential: the platform issues it, sets its limit from the order, and can decline the transaction at authorisation.

What this control could unlock

Holding the instrument gives the platform the transaction record for every purchase that runs through it, which is the same data its upstream sourcing work is built from. Control at the end of the journey is what funds the move to the beginning of it.

What this could lead to

The instrument a purchase runs through could be issued and held by a party outside procurement, and the record of it with them.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated emerging

Two lateral players act on what the order becomes, one issuing the instrument and one holding the agreement, and neither replaces creating the order itself.

This rating considers every player active at Order.

What the evidence does not show

The card executes a purchase that the buyer has already selected and approved. It does not choose the supplier or authorize the purchase. No source says who issued the instrument before, so the platform's position here cannot be read as anyone's loss.

Shared stage with procurement agents

Two interactions arrive at Order and one begins there, turning an approved decision into an order.

Payments here

Ramp creates a virtual card against the approved order; Brex can decline the transaction at authorisation.

Why this is not a contest

Different functions on different objects. The agent creates the order; the payments platform issues the instrument the order is paid with. Neither replaces the other.

Evidence and method

Source and record

LA-RAMP-EV-01 · `boundary_effect: embed` · E2. LA-BREX-EV-01 · `authority_level: block` · confidence low.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Marketplaces × Find

Channel economics could decide which suppliers a buyer considers

Potential movement

Competitive maturity at Find: Forming

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

The marketplace could decide which suppliers a buyer considers, by changing what the channel is worth.

Example scenario

A buyer has already committed to a cloud spend figure. Buying a third-party product through the marketplace retires that commitment, so the shortlist narrows to suppliers listed there before anyone compares products.

Why it can enter here

Microsoft defines which purchases are eligible and holds the commitment balance the eligibility is measured against.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Influence point

If this happened, the marketplace would shape which suppliers reach a shortlist while procurement still chose among them.

Who keeps the binding decision

Procurement would keep the decision about which supplier wins.

Where it must move next

To control discovery, the channel would have to become the only place a category can be bought, rather than the cheapest place to buy it.

What this could lead to

A supplier's presence on one channel could start to decide whether it is considered at all.

What happens instead if it does not

Buyers keep buying anywhere and simply pay for the choice out of a commitment already signed, so the channel changes the cost of a decision without changing the decision.

Why this matters to a buyer

A commitment signed for capacity can quietly become a constraint on supplier choice. Check what your existing commitments already imply about who you can buy from.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated forming

Procurement agents already assemble the supplier set, and Ramp now researches suppliers from its own vendor and payment history. Both produce the same shortlist, and three further players propose entering.

This rating considers every player active at Find. The selected marketplaces movement remains a proposition.

What must be true

  • The commitment rule starts to decide which suppliers reach a shortlist, not only what a channel costs.
  • Buyers route categories beyond software through the marketplace.
  • Procurement treats the marketplace catalogue as its supplier universe.

What could prevent it

  • The evidence records this as a rule that changes what a channel costs, not as an operation performed at the shortlist.
  • Buyers can still buy anywhere and pay for the choice out of a commitment already signed.
  • Sourcing teams keep supplier discovery in their own system.

What the evidence does not show

This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

Competitive collision, proposed with procurement agents

Three interactions arrive at Find, assembling the supplier set a buyer will look at.

Marketplaces here

Proposed: channel economics would narrow the set to suppliers listed on the marketplace.

What both may contest

Deciding which suppliers reach the buyer's consideration set. Both would determine the same set, by different means.

Evidence and method

Source and record

LA-MSMP-EV-01 · 2025-02-18 · `authority_level: constrain` · coded cross-stage over Find, Negotiate and Approve because it changes no single stage's operation · E2-shipped-capability.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Marketplaces × Negotiate

AWS Marketplace composes the priced offer without either side speaking

Demonstrated Documented, but not established as agentic

Competitive maturity at Negotiate: Forming

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

The marketplace produces the priced offer without either side speaking to the other.

Example

A buyer states requirements in AWS Marketplace and the platform evaluates them against the seller's pre-configured rate card, then generates the private offer. Requests outside the seller's criteria go to a salesperson instead.

Why it can enter here

The marketplace defines the rate-card construct, holds both sides' rules and runs the evaluation between them, so it is already standing where a negotiation would happen.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Influence point

The marketplace decides the form an offer may take and generates it, and the seller's rate card decides the prices inside that form.

Who keeps the binding decision

The seller sets the terms through its rate card, and the buyer decides whether to accept the offer.

Where it must move next

To control terms, the marketplace's own rules would have to determine the price or the conditions, rather than evaluate rules the seller wrote.

What this could lead to

Negotiation could become rule configuration, and the party that holds the rules would hold the outcome.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated forming

Procurement agents draft and price terms, and AWS Marketplace generates the priced offer from the seller's rate card. Both compose the offer a buyer receives.

This rating considers every player active at Negotiate.

What the evidence does not show

The marketplace sets the form an offer may take; the seller sets the prices inside it. Nothing in the evidence shows any party with authority to agree terms through an agent.

Competitive collision, demonstrated with procurement agents

Three interactions begin at Negotiate and three arrive there, drafting, revising or pricing terms.

Marketplaces here

AWS Marketplace generates the private offer automatically from the seller's rate card.

What both may contest

Producing the priced offer. Both sides compose it, so a buyer gets the offer from one or the other.

Evidence and method

Source and record

markets.json M1 · saas-acquisition EV-05 / OC-04 · 2025-11-30 · retrieved and inspected 2026-08-15 · three of M1's six links observed.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Marketplaces × Approve

AWS Marketplace can decide whether a purchase enters procurement at all

Demonstrated Documented, but not established as agentic

Competitive maturity at Approve: Emerging

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

The marketplace decides which approval route a purchase follows.

Example

AWS Marketplace uses channel configuration to determine whether particular purchases are routed through procurement. It does not approve the purchase for the buyer, but it can influence which approval process the buyer encounters.

Why it can enter here

The marketplace owns the agreement structure and the pre-approval setting. The firm owns the workflow that setting can route around.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Control point over approval routing

AWS Marketplace can apply a binding channel rule that determines whether a purchase enters the buyer's procurement process. It does not approve the purchase for the buyer. This is control over approval routing, not over the approval decision.

The binding mechanism

The binding mechanism is the pre-approval setting: where it is enabled, orders for free and bring-your-own-licence products are never submitted to the firm's procurement system. The firm's own approvers keep the decision on every purchase that does reach them, and the rule reaches two product classes only.

What this control could unlock

Deciding which purchases procurement ever sees is upstream of deciding what procurement approves. If the same rule reached product classes that carry invoice value, the channel would be shaping the firm's spend under review rather than routing it.

What this could lead to

Which approvals a firm performs could become a setting held outside the firm.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated emerging

Three lateral players act on the approval from different directions, and none of them does the procurement agent's job. The clearest case applies to two product classes only.

This rating considers every player active at Approve.

What the evidence does not show

The pre-approval applies to two product classes that carry no invoice value. No customer is named in any of these records, so none of this is confirmed by a buyer.

Shared stage with procurement agents

Seven of the 21 interactions arrive at Approve, delivering a prepared decision to the approver.

Marketplaces here

A marketplace setting decides whether the firm's approval step is reached at all.

Why this is not a contest

Different functions. The agent prepares what an approver decides on; the marketplace decides whether an approval is required. A buyer could have both, and would still have each doing its own thing.

Evidence and method

Source and record

LA-AWSM-EV-01 · bypass · E3-configured-authority. LA-AWSM-EV-02 · constrain · E2. LA-MSMP-EV-02 · constrain · E3 · 2025-02-18.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Marketplaces × Order

AWS Marketplace keeps the agreement the purchase becomes

Demonstrated Documented, but not established as agentic

Competitive maturity at Order: Emerging

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

The order completes on the marketplace, and the agreement is created and kept there.

Example

After the firm's system approves, the transaction completes on AWS Marketplace and the agreement is created there programmatically. The subscription state then lives on the marketplace, and the firm's purchase order points at it.

Why it can enter here

The marketplace issues the entitlement, so it holds the object the order becomes.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Control point

What the firm bought, and what it is entitled to, is recorded and kept by the marketplace. Renewal, consumption and entitlement all read from that record.

The binding mechanism

The binding mechanism is the agreement itself: it is created on the marketplace and the subscription state lives there, so later actions depend on a record the firm does not hold.

What this control could unlock

Holding the agreement puts the marketplace in the renewal before anyone opens a sourcing event, because the entitlement and its dates are already on its side of the boundary.

What this could lead to

The record of what was bought could sit with the marketplace while the firm's system holds only a purchase order pointing at it.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated emerging

Two lateral players act on what the order becomes, one issuing the instrument and one holding the agreement, and neither replaces creating the order itself.

This rating considers every player active at Order.

What the evidence does not show

The purchase order stays in the firm's system. Nothing shows that procurement has to consult the marketplace to do its own work.

Shared stage with procurement agents

Two interactions arrive at Order and one begins there.

Marketplaces here

The transaction completes on the marketplace and the agreement is created and held there.

Why this is not a contest

Different objects. The agent creates the firm's purchase order; the marketplace creates the agreement the order points at. The record splits rather than being competed for.

Evidence and method

Source and record

LA-AWSM-EV-03 · `procurement_power_acquired: authoritative-record` · embed · E2.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Contracts × Approve

Ironclad can record an approval through its API

Demonstrated Documented, but not established as agentic

Competitive maturity at Approve: Emerging

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

An approval inside the contract workflow can be marked complete by a permitted client.

Example

A user with the required permission can use Ironclad's API to mark an approval complete. This shows that a contract platform can sit inside the approval workflow, but the current evidence does not establish an agent making the decision.

Why it can enter here

The platform owns the workflow and the approval state inside it, and exposes that state through its public interface.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Influence point

Marking the approval complete moves the workflow forward. It records a decision that was made somewhere else.

Who keeps the binding decision

The approval group whose turn it is still makes the decision the call records.

Where it must move next

To control the decision, contractual logic would need to determine whether the purchase is permitted, rather than record a decision made elsewhere.

What this could lead to

If approval is a state another system can write, the question could shift from who decides to who holds the permission.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated emerging

Three lateral players act on the approval from different directions, and none of them does the procurement agent's job. The clearest case applies to two product classes only.

This rating considers every player active at Approve.

What the evidence does not show

This is an interface a permitted client can call. No agent is shown using it, so what exists is the ability to delegate rather than a delegate.

Shared stage with procurement agents

Seven of the 21 interactions arrive at Approve, delivering a prepared decision to the approver.

Contracts here

A permitted client can mark the contract approval complete through the platform's interface.

Why this is not a contest

Different functions. The agent prepares the decision; the contract platform records that it was made. Nothing shows either doing the other's part.

Evidence and method

Source and record

LA-ICLD-EV-01 · `authority_level: approve` · `boundary_effect: embed` · E3-configured-authority · `human_gate: configurable-can-be-removed`.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Systems of record × Approve

The ledger could decide which purchases need approving at all

Potential movement

Competitive maturity at Approve: Emerging

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

The ledger could decide which purchases need an approval at all.

Example scenario

A firm sets its approval threshold inside the ledger. Bills under that figure are paid without approval, and the procurement policy that describes an approval step is never reached.

Why it can enter here

The same system holds the bill, the threshold that decides whether it needs approving, and the instruction that pays it.

What this position could become

Proposed position: Control point

If the threshold moved into the ledger, the rule deciding whether an approval happens would sit with the system that also releases the money.

The binding mechanism

The binding mechanism would be the threshold: it decides whether an approval is required before the payment instruction can be released.

What this control could unlock

Holding both the rule and the instruction would let the financial system decide which purchases procurement ever sees.

What this could lead to

Approval policy could migrate from the procurement system to the ledger without anyone deciding to move it.

What happens instead if it does not

Procurement keeps the approval policy in its own system and the ledger only executes what that system has already approved.

Why this matters to a buyer

An approval policy is only as strong as the system that enforces it. Check whether yours is written where the money moves or somewhere the money can bypass.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated emerging

Three lateral players act on the approval from different directions, and none of them does the procurement agent's job. The clearest case applies to two product classes only.

This rating considers every player active at Approve. The selected systems of record movement remains a proposition.

What must be true

  • Approval thresholds are set in the ledger rather than in the procurement system.
  • The ledger's record becomes the record the firm reconciles against.
  • Firms accept an approval performed through a credential rather than by a person.

What could prevent it

  • The documentation does not say what happens below the threshold, so nothing can be concluded about purchases under it.
  • Procurement keeps the approval policy in its own system.
  • Finance treats the administrator override as an exception rather than a route.

What the evidence does not show

This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

Shared stage with procurement agents

Seven of the 21 interactions arrive at Approve, delivering a prepared decision to the approver.

Systems of record here

Proposed: the ledger threshold would decide whether an approval is required at all.

Why this is not a contest

Different functions. The agent prepares an approval; the ledger would decide whether one is needed. One is a step in the decision, the other is a rule about the step.

Evidence and method

Source and record

LA-BILL-EV-01 · `human_gate: configurable-can-be-removed` · the threshold and the `/v2/Approve.json` call sit in the same record as the payment instruction · coded embed, explicitly not bypass · E3-configured-authority.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Systems of record × Pay

BILL can execute payment despite the configured approval policy

Demonstrated Documented, but not established as agentic

Competitive maturity at Pay: Forming

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

A single role can pay a bill whatever the approval policy says.

Example

An authorized administrator can pay a bill even when the configured approval process has not been completed. This shows that execution authority can sit in the financial system, but it does not show the system deciding what the approval policy should be.

Why it can enter here

The ledger holds the bill, its approval state and the payment instruction together, so nothing external stands between the instruction and the payment.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Control point

The payment can be released whatever the approval state says, which means the written control does not exist at the moment money moves.

The binding mechanism

The binding mechanism is the payment instruction: the ledger holds it, and the administrator role can release it regardless of the approval policy.

What this control could unlock

BILL already holds execution authority in the documented example. To move upstream, it would need to determine which purchases require approval before payment.

What this could lead to

A control that exists in the written policy may not exist at the moment of payment.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated forming

Procurement agents carry an approved obligation through to payment, and BILL can execute the payment itself. Both run the same step.

This rating considers every player active at Pay.

What the evidence does not show

The override is available to one role. Nothing shows a bill being paid this way in practice, and the documentation is silent on what happens below the approval threshold.

Competitive collision, demonstrated with procurement agents

Two interactions arrive at Pay, carrying an approved obligation through to payment.

Systems of record here

An authorized administrator can pay a bill despite the configured approval policy.

What both may contest

Carrying an approved obligation through to payment. Both sides execute the payment, so a buyer runs accounts payable on one of them.

Evidence and method

Source and record

LA-BILL-EV-01 · `authoritative_holder`: the bill, its approval state and the payment instruction · E3-configured-authority · generally available.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Operational platforms × Need

An operational event could become a purchase need with no one raising it

Potential movement

Competitive maturity at Need: Emerging

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

An operational event could become a purchase need without a person raising it.

Example scenario

A maintenance system records that a pump has failed a scheduled inspection. It converts that reading into a purchase need for a replacement part, and procurement receives a requirement it did not start.

Why it can enter here

The operations system holds the asset record, the condition data and the maintenance schedule, so it sees the event that creates the need before anyone writes it down.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Influence point

If this happened, the operations system would decide that a purchase is needed while procurement still decided what to buy and from whom.

Who keeps the binding decision

Procurement would keep the decision on what is bought and from which supplier.

Where it must move next

To control demand, the operational system's reading would have to be the requirement that proceeds, which means procurement accepting requests it did not create.

What this could lead to

Demand could start being generated by systems that watch equipment rather than by people who watch budgets.

What happens instead if it does not

A person continues to notice the event and raise the request, and the operational system remains a source of information rather than a source of demand.

Why this matters to a buyer

If demand starts in an operational system, procurement's intake stops being the front door and becomes a review of a request that already exists.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated emerging

Two players propose entering the need and neither is demonstrated there. The work shown at this stage is done by procurement's own providers.

This rating considers every player active at Need. The selected operational platforms movement remains a proposition.

What must be true

  • Operational data identifies a real purchase need rather than a fault to be repaired.
  • The system is permitted to initiate a request.
  • Procurement rules constrain the resulting request.

What could prevent it

  • Operational data is incomplete and the reading does not establish a purchase.
  • A person must define the need before it becomes a request.
  • Procurement refuses requests created outside its own workflow.

What the evidence does not show

This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

Evidence and method

Source and record

No governed record. The three players in this archetype are recorded acting after Pay, on licences already bought, which the nine-stage journey has no cell for. The path drawn here is a proposition built from the assets those systems hold, with its conditions and obstacles written down.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Operational platforms × Define

The asset record could become the requirement suppliers answer

Potential movement

Competitive maturity at Define: Forming

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

The operational record could become the requirement suppliers are asked to meet.

Example scenario

The maintenance system already holds the part number, the specification and the site constraints. It writes those into the requirement, so the request that reaches procurement is already specified.

Why it can enter here

The system holds the asset specification and the service history, which is most of what a requirement has to say.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Influence point

If this happened, the operations system would draft what is asked for while procurement still confirmed it.

Who keeps the binding decision

Procurement and the business owner would keep the decision on what the firm actually needs.

Where it must move next

To control specification, the operational record would have to be treated as authoritative, so that rewriting it is not an option.

What this could lead to

What a firm asks suppliers for could be produced by a system that has never seen a supplier.

What happens instead if it does not

Procurement rewrites the requirement in its own template and the link back to the asset record is lost, so the operational data informs the request without shaping it.

Why this matters to a buyer

The quality of your requirements may already depend on a system procurement does not own. Ask who would notice if the asset record were wrong.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated forming

Procurement agents already turn a need into a written requirement, and Ramp now generates the RFx that goes to suppliers. Both produce the same document.

This rating considers every player active at Define. The selected operational platforms movement remains a proposition.

What must be true

  • Requirements can be generated from the operational event.
  • The specification held by the operations system is current and complete.
  • Procurement accepts a requirement it did not write.

What could prevent it

  • The operational record describes an asset, not a commercial requirement.
  • Engineering or the business owner must confirm what is actually needed.
  • Procurement rewrites the requirement in its own template and the link is lost.

What the evidence does not show

This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

Evidence and method

Source and record

No governed record. The three players in this archetype are recorded acting after Pay, on licences already bought, which the nine-stage journey has no cell for. The path drawn here is a proposition built from the assets those systems hold, with its conditions and obstacles written down.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Operational platforms × Find

An operations system could start the supplier search itself

Potential movement

Competitive maturity at Find: Forming

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

The operations system could start the supplier search itself.

Example scenario

Having written the requirement, the system looks up the suppliers approved for that part and puts a shortlist in front of the buyer, so the search starts before procurement opens a sourcing event.

Why it can enter here

The system already knows which supplier serviced the asset last time and what was fitted, which is a supplier shortlist in everything but name.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Influence point

If this happened, the operations system would propose the suppliers while procurement still chose among them.

Who keeps the binding decision

Procurement would keep the decision about who is invited and who wins.

Where it must move next

To control discovery, the system would need access to supplier and policy information it does not hold today, and buyers would have to stop searching outside its shortlist.

What this could lead to

The supplier set could be assembled by a system procurement does not run and does not read.

What happens instead if it does not

Sourcing teams treat supplier selection as their own decision and the operational shortlist is never consulted, so the last supplier keeps winning by habit rather than by rule.

Why this matters to a buyer

Repeat purchasing may already be decided by service history rather than by sourcing. Ask how many of your renewals were ever competitively tested.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated forming

Procurement agents already assemble the supplier set, and Ramp now researches suppliers from its own vendor and payment history. Both produce the same shortlist, and three further players propose entering.

This rating considers every player active at Find. The selected operational platforms movement remains a proposition.

What must be true

  • The system can reach supplier and policy information it does not itself hold.
  • Procurement rules constrain the resulting search.
  • Buyers accept a shortlist assembled outside procurement.

What could prevent it

  • The operational platform has no access to supplier or policy information.
  • Preferred-supplier and compliance rules live in procurement and are not exposed to it.
  • Sourcing teams treat supplier selection as their own decision.

What the evidence does not show

This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

Evidence and method

Source and record

No governed record. The three players in this archetype are recorded acting after Pay, on licences already bought, which the nine-stage journey has no cell for. The path drawn here is a proposition built from the assets those systems hold, with its conditions and obstacles written down.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Seller-side agents × Find

A seller's agent could enter the shortlist without a salesperson

Potential movement

Competitive maturity at Find: Forming

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

A seller's agent could make its offer visible to a buyer's agent at the moment of search.

Example scenario

A buyer's agent publishes a machine-readable requirement. A seller's agent reads it, decides the seller can meet it and returns a structured offer, so the seller enters the buyer's shortlist without a salesperson.

Why it can enter here

The seller holds the price, the availability and the terms the buyer's agent is looking for, and is the only party that can publish them.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Access point

If this happened, the seller would reach the buyer's search. Reaching it is not the same as shaping what the buyer decides.

What it can reach, and what it cannot shape

The seller could present its offer and could not shape the buyer's requirement or the comparison it will face.

Where it must move next

To move beyond access, the seller's agent would need its offer to change what the buyer compares, not merely to appear inside the comparison.

What this could lead to

Supplier discovery could stop being something buyers do and start being something sellers answer.

What happens instead if it does not

Sellers keep waiting to be found through catalogues and salespeople, and buyer-side agents keep searching sources the seller does not control.

Why this matters to a buyer

If sellers can answer your agents directly, the supplier set stops being something you assemble and starts being something you receive. Decide now who may answer.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated forming

Procurement agents already assemble the supplier set, and Ramp now researches suppliers from its own vendor and payment history. Both produce the same shortlist, and three further players propose entering.

This rating considers every player active at Find. The selected seller-side agents movement remains a proposition.

What must be true

  • Buyer and seller agents exchange machine-readable requirements and offers.
  • The buyer permits seller agents to participate.
  • Both agents operate within defined mandates.

What could prevent it

  • There is no shared protocol between the two sides.
  • The buyer refuses direct agent access to its requirements.
  • Trust and verification requirements prevent autonomous interaction.

What the evidence does not show

This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

Evidence and method

Source and record

No governed record. Zero seller-side agents appear in a searched corpus with no denominator, which bounds what may be claimed and does not establish that none exists. The falsifier is written down: a dated artifact showing a seller altering an offer rule in response to a specific buyer request.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Seller-side agents × Compare

A seller's agent could answer the comparison while it is still open

Potential movement

Competitive maturity at Compare: Forming

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

A seller's agent could answer the buyer's comparison while it is being made.

Example scenario

The buyer's agent scores three offers. The seller's agent sees that it is second on price, supplies a revised configuration and re-enters the comparison before the buyer closes it.

Why it can enter here

Only the seller knows what it can flex on, and a seller's agent could apply that in the time a comparison stays open.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Influence point

If this happened, the seller would change what the buyer is comparing while the buyer still chose the winner.

Who keeps the binding decision

The buyer would keep the decision about which offer wins.

Where it must move next

To control the comparison, the seller would need to shape the criteria the buyer scores against, not only the offer being scored.

What this could lead to

Comparison could become a live exchange rather than a fixed set of submitted offers.

What happens instead if it does not

Offers stay fixed once submitted, and comparison remains a one-shot evaluation of what was sent rather than a live exchange.

Why this matters to a buyer

A comparison that can be answered while it is open is a different negotiation. Decide whether your evaluation is a sealed process or a conversation.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated forming

Procurement agents already evaluate suppliers, while Ramp now performs important parts of supplier research and comparison.

This rating considers every player active at Compare. The selected seller-side agents movement remains a proposition.

What must be true

  • The interaction supports offers, counteroffers and constraints.
  • The buyer's evaluation is visible to the seller in a usable form.
  • Both agents operate within defined mandates.

What could prevent it

  • Sellers cannot change terms dynamically.
  • The buyer refuses to expose an evaluation while it is still open.
  • People retain the authority to change an offer.

What the evidence does not show

This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

Evidence and method

Source and record

No governed record. Zero seller-side agents appear in a searched corpus with no denominator, which bounds what may be claimed and does not establish that none exists. The falsifier is written down: a dated artifact showing a seller altering an offer rule in response to a specific buyer request.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

Seller-side agents × Negotiate

Terms could be settled between agents rather than between people

Potential movement

Competitive maturity at Negotiate: Forming

  1. Uncontested
  2. Emerging
  3. Forming
  4. Established
Populated cells are one group: arrow keys move between them and open each panel in turn. The two controls that follow do the same thing.

What is happening

Both sides could settle terms through agents rather than through people.

Example scenario

The buyer's agent asks for a longer payment term and a volume break. The seller's agent concedes the term, refuses the break and offers a shorter commitment instead, inside a mandate each side has set in advance.

Why it can enter here

The seller holds the terms it can concede and the limits it cannot, which is exactly what a negotiation mandate would encode.

What this position could become

Position at this stage: Influence point

If this happened, the seller's agent would compose the terms on offer while a person on each side still bound the firm to them.

Who keeps the binding decision

People on both sides would keep the authority to agree.

Where it must move next

To control terms, an agent would need a mandate to bind its firm, which nothing in the evidence establishes for any party.

What this could lead to

The speed of a negotiation could stop being limited by how often two people can meet.

What happens instead if it does not

People on both sides keep the authority to agree, and agents prepare positions that a person still has to carry into a conversation.

Why this matters to a buyer

The constraint on negotiation speed is mandate, not capability. Decide what an agent may concede before anyone asks you to grant it.

What the evidence establishes

Why the stage is rated forming

Procurement agents draft and price terms, and AWS Marketplace generates the priced offer from the seller's rate card. Both compose the offer a buyer receives.

This rating considers every player active at Negotiate. The selected seller-side agents movement remains a proposition.

What must be true

  • Both agents operate within defined mandates.
  • The interaction supports offers, counteroffers and constraints.
  • Each side accepts an outcome reached without a person in the exchange.

What could prevent it

  • People retain negotiation authority on both sides.
  • Nothing in the evidence shows any party letting an agent agree terms on its behalf.
  • Trust or verification requirements prevent autonomous interaction.

What the evidence does not show

This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

Evidence and method

Source and record

No governed record. Zero seller-side agents appear in a searched corpus with no denominator, which bounds what may be claimed and does not establish that none exists. The falsifier is written down: a dated artifact showing a seller altering an offer rule in response to a specific buyer request.

How the competitive maturity was set

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

How a shared stage differs from a collision

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

What the field shows

Three changes are reshaping the competitive field.

  1. 01

    Procurement agents expand through coordination

    Procurement-native players extend by connecting stages of the buying journey they already touch. On the field below, no single procurement-native player reaches every stage; the coverage is built up across several of them.

    Show procurement-agent movement
  2. 02

    Lateral players begin with something they already control

    Payments platforms bring transaction data and execution. Marketplaces bring supplier access and channel rules. Contract platforms bring contractual obligations. Systems of record bring permissions and the official transaction record.

    Compare lateral movements
  3. 03

    Competitive positions are forming before every player becomes agentic

    Eight of the nine demonstrated lateral positions currently rely on conventional mechanisms rather than agents. These positions may nevertheless provide the foundation for later agentic expansion.

    Show demonstrated positions

The strategic implication

A category map misses competitors that begin outside the category.

A conventional procurement landscape compares procurement vendors with one another. It does not show how a payments platform can move into sourcing, how a marketplace can influence approval or how an operational system could initiate procurement directly from a business event.

Comparative ecosystem mapping identifies the positions different players already control, traces where they can enter the customer journey and tests which capabilities they could capture next.

  1. 01

    Map the starting positions

    Identify who controls supplier access, spend data, contractual rules, transaction execution and official records.

  2. 02

    Trace the movements

    Separate demonstrated activity from potential expansion and identify where different players genuinely contest the same capability.

  3. 03

    Test the outcomes

    Determine whether procurement remains the coordinator, becomes part of an adjacent platform or fragments across specialized agents.

Apply the analysis

Map your competitive ecosystem.

Identify competitors that do not appear on a conventional category map, the positions from which they can attack and the capabilities your firm should strengthen, reposition or redefine.

  1. 01

    Map the ecosystem

    Identify procurement incumbents, adjacent platforms, operational systems and seller-side players.

  2. 02

    Model the attacks

    Test where each player can enter, what advantage it brings and what must be true for it to expand.

  3. 03

    Choose your position

    Decide which capabilities to strengthen, which partnerships to form and whether the changing market creates an opportunity to define a new category.

Map your competitive ecosystem

If the question is whether this creates a new category to define rather than a position to defend, start with category strategy.

Common Methodology

What this page counts, and what it may not

18 demonstrated cells and 9 propositions across 63 positions. Two evidence populations feed the field and they are never added together. The procurement-native row is population A: 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings, of which 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. The lateral rows are populations B and C of a 17-event register in which the unit is one boundary-crossing event, not one company. Neither is combined with the 54-offering by nine-stage population behind Agentic Pressure. A derivation contributes ONE interaction to any count, whatever number of stages it maps. A page reporting how many interactions stand behind a row must count interactions, not cells.

Competitive maturity, stage by stage

Uncontested means no lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the stage. Emerging means one exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established. Forming means a procurement provider and a lateral player are beginning to contest the same capability. Established would need repeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position, all demonstrated, and nothing here reaches it. The number of players present decides nothing on its own.

  • UncontestedNo demonstrated or proposed lateral movement exists at this stage.
  • EmergingA potential movement or a narrow lateral operation exists, and no direct competition for the same capability is established.
  • FormingProcurement-native and lateral players are beginning to contest the same decision capability, or more than one independent mechanism is forming around it.
  • EstablishedRepeated buyer choice among substitutable providers, recurring operational use and a durable control position are all demonstrated.
  • Need · EmergingTwo players propose entering the need and neither is demonstrated there. The work shown at this stage is done by procurement's own providers.
  • Define · FormingProcurement agents already turn a need into a written requirement, and Ramp now generates the RFx that goes to suppliers. Both produce the same document.
  • Find · FormingProcurement agents already assemble the supplier set, and Ramp now researches suppliers from its own vendor and payment history. Both produce the same shortlist, and three further players propose entering.
  • Compare · FormingProcurement agents already evaluate suppliers, while Ramp now performs important parts of supplier research and comparison.
  • Check · UncontestedNo lateral player is demonstrated or proposed at the constraint check. Nothing outside procurement is contesting this stage.
  • Negotiate · FormingProcurement agents draft and price terms, and AWS Marketplace generates the priced offer from the seller's rate card. Both compose the offer a buyer receives.
  • Approve · EmergingThree lateral players act on the approval from different directions, and none of them does the procurement agent's job. The clearest case applies to two product classes only.
  • Order · EmergingTwo lateral players act on what the order becomes, one issuing the instrument and one holding the agreement, and neither replaces creating the order itself.
  • Pay · FormingProcurement agents carry an approved obligation through to payment, and BILL can execute the payment itself. Both run the same step.

Access, influence and control

  • Access pointThe player can enter the process or read from it and cannot materially shape the outcome. It must name what it reaches and what it cannot shape.
  • Influence pointThe player shapes the options, the evaluation or the routing, and someone else makes the outcome binding. It must name who keeps that decision.
  • Control pointThe player can constrain what proceeds, apply a binding rule, authorize a commitment, execute a binding transaction or hold the record later actions depend on. It must name the binding mechanism. Being embedded or widely used is not control.
  • Varies by interactionUsed only for the procurement-agent row, which is an aggregate of 21 interactions doing different things at the same stage. Naming one position would present a population as though it were an offering.

Shared stages and competitive collisions

A shared stage means a procurement-agent interaction and a lateral player both appear there. A competitive collision means both are shown, or proposed, to do the same job, so a buyer could get it from either one. The procurement-agent footprint touches every stage, so appearing together is common and is not by itself a contest.

  • Payments · Need · Competitive collision · proposed

    Procurement agents. Five of the 21 interactions begin at the need, picking up a request and carrying it into later stages.

    Payments. Proposed: the platform would shape what the request asks for before procurement sees it.

    Contested capability. Turning a stated need into the request the rest of the process works from. Both sides would produce the same thing, so a buyer would use one or the other.

  • Payments · Define · Competitive collision · demonstrated

    Procurement agents. Seven of the 21 interactions begin at Define, turning a stated need into a written requirement.

    Payments. Ramp's agents generate the RFx that goes to suppliers.

    Contested capability. Writing the requirement suppliers respond to. Both sides produce that document, so a buyer needs one of them and not both.

  • Payments · Find · Competitive collision · demonstrated

    Procurement agents. Three interactions arrive at Find, assembling the supplier set a buyer will look at.

    Payments. Ramp's agents research supplier options from the vendor and transaction history the platform holds.

    Contested capability. Assembling the supplier set. Both sides do it, from different data, and a buyer chooses whose set to look at.

  • Payments · Compare · Competitive collision · demonstrated

    Procurement agents. Three interactions arrive at Compare and one begins there, ranking options for the buyer.

    Payments. Ramp's agents score supplier responses before the employee selects a vendor.

    Contested capability. Producing the comparison the buyer decides on. Both sides score the same responses, so the buyer relies on one.

  • Payments · Order · Shared stage

    Procurement agents. Two interactions arrive at Order and one begins there, turning an approved decision into an order.

    Payments. Ramp creates a virtual card against the approved order; Brex can decline the transaction at authorisation.

    Why it is not a contest. Different functions on different objects. The agent creates the order; the payments platform issues the instrument the order is paid with. Neither replaces the other.

  • Marketplaces · Find · Competitive collision · proposed

    Procurement agents. Three interactions arrive at Find, assembling the supplier set a buyer will look at.

    Marketplaces. Proposed: channel economics would narrow the set to suppliers listed on the marketplace.

    Contested capability. Deciding which suppliers reach the buyer's consideration set. Both would determine the same set, by different means.

  • Marketplaces · Negotiate · Competitive collision · demonstrated

    Procurement agents. Three interactions begin at Negotiate and three arrive there, drafting, revising or pricing terms.

    Marketplaces. AWS Marketplace generates the private offer automatically from the seller's rate card.

    Contested capability. Producing the priced offer. Both sides compose it, so a buyer gets the offer from one or the other.

  • Marketplaces · Approve · Shared stage

    Procurement agents. Seven of the 21 interactions arrive at Approve, delivering a prepared decision to the approver.

    Marketplaces. A marketplace setting decides whether the firm's approval step is reached at all.

    Why it is not a contest. Different functions. The agent prepares what an approver decides on; the marketplace decides whether an approval is required. A buyer could have both, and would still have each doing its own thing.

  • Marketplaces · Order · Shared stage

    Procurement agents. Two interactions arrive at Order and one begins there.

    Marketplaces. The transaction completes on the marketplace and the agreement is created and held there.

    Why it is not a contest. Different objects. The agent creates the firm's purchase order; the marketplace creates the agreement the order points at. The record splits rather than being competed for.

  • Contracts · Approve · Shared stage

    Procurement agents. Seven of the 21 interactions arrive at Approve, delivering a prepared decision to the approver.

    Contracts. A permitted client can mark the contract approval complete through the platform's interface.

    Why it is not a contest. Different functions. The agent prepares the decision; the contract platform records that it was made. Nothing shows either doing the other's part.

  • Systems of record · Approve · Shared stage

    Procurement agents. Seven of the 21 interactions arrive at Approve, delivering a prepared decision to the approver.

    Systems of record. Proposed: the ledger threshold would decide whether an approval is required at all.

    Why it is not a contest. Different functions. The agent prepares an approval; the ledger would decide whether one is needed. One is a step in the decision, the other is a rule about the step.

  • Systems of record · Pay · Competitive collision · demonstrated

    Procurement agents. Two interactions arrive at Pay, carrying an approved obligation through to payment.

    Systems of record. An authorized administrator can pay a bill despite the configured approval policy.

    Contested capability. Carrying an approved obligation through to payment. Both sides execute the payment, so a buyer runs accounts payable on one of them.

The governed derivation

D-RAMPA-1 · LA-SUP-RAMPA-EV-01 · coded cross-stage · one interaction

Span, verbatim: The agents act across TRIGGER, SPECIFY, DISCOVER and EVALUATE. Coded cross-stage because the operation is one preparation pass over four stages rather than four separable events.

Operation, verbatim: Agents research options, generate the RFx and score responses, and where a request violates policy they flag it before it reaches an approver.

  • generate the RFx → Define (SPECIFY)
  • research options → Find (DISCOVER)
  • score responses → Compare (EVALUATE)

The source event names TRIGGER in its span and names no operation performed at it. It is therefore carried as a proposition and not as a demonstrated position.

This reads as a constraint check at VALIDATE. The source event's own span does not name VALIDATE, and a derivation may not code above its source. No cell is created.

docs/observatory/evidence-validation/AGENTIC-COMPETITION.md section 4.C states that nothing enters at Need, Define, Find, Compare, Negotiate or Check. That sentence counts the `procurement_stage_affected` field, in which `cross-stage` is its own bucket and is never decomposed. It is a statement about how the field was coded, not a statement that the operations do not occur.

Boundary preserved. The employee selects the winning vendor and the firm's stakeholders make the approval decisions. The human gate is coded required-and-evidenced and the authoritative holder is the firm's own approvers. No cell derived here may be rendered in a way that removes this.

ONE interaction spanning three stages. It is not three events, three offerings or three independent observations, and no figure anywhere may count it as more than one.

Held in research/lateral-authority-pilot/data/derived-register.json. The source event register is unchanged.

The propositions, and what each one needs

  • PR-PAY-TRIGGER · payments · Need · not demonstrated

    The intake and approval workflow runs on the spend platform, so a request reaches the platform before it reaches procurement. The platform could read the vendor and transaction history it already holds and propose what the request should ask for.

    Basis. LA-SUP-RAMPA-EV-01 names Need among the stages it spans and names no operation performed there.

    If it does not happen. Requests keep being written in a procurement system the platform never sees, and the platform receives a requirement it had no part in shaping.

    Why it matters. If demand is shaped where it is raised, the system a firm lets employees raise requests in becomes a competitive position, not an administrative choice.

  • PR-MKT-DISCOVER · marketplaces · Find · not demonstrated

    Eligible marketplace purchases count in full against a cloud commitment the buyer has already made, so routing a purchase through the channel retires money already committed. That economics could narrow a shortlist before anyone compares products.

    Basis. LA-MSMP-EV-01 bears on Find, Negotiate and Approve at once and performs no operation at Find.

    If it does not happen. Buyers keep buying anywhere and simply pay for the choice out of a commitment already signed, so the channel changes the cost of a decision without changing the decision.

    Why it matters. A commitment signed for capacity can quietly become a constraint on supplier choice. Check what your existing commitments already imply about who you can buy from.

  • PR-REC-AUTHORIZE · records · Approve · not demonstrated

    The threshold that decides whether a bill needs approving sits in the ledger, alongside the instruction that pays it. If firms set that threshold there, the ledger decides which purchases reach an approval at all.

    Basis. LA-BILL-EV-01 records an approval threshold and an approval call in the same system that holds the payment instruction, and is coded embed rather than bypass.

    If it does not happen. Procurement keeps the approval policy in its own system and the ledger only executes what that system has already approved.

    Why it matters. An approval policy is only as strong as the system that enforces it. Check whether yours is written where the money moves or somewhere the money can bypass.

  • PR-OPS-TRIGGER · operational · Need · not demonstrated

    Operations, maintenance and asset systems hold the condition data and the schedule, so they see the event that creates a purchase need before anyone writes it down. That event could be converted into a purchase need directly.

    Basis. No governed record places an operational platform inside the nine stages. Every record for these players acts after Pay, on a licence already bought.

    If it does not happen. A person continues to notice the event and raise the request, and the operational system remains a source of information rather than a source of demand.

    Why it matters. If demand starts in an operational system, procurement's intake stops being the front door and becomes a review of a request that already exists.

  • PR-OPS-SPECIFY · operational · Define · not demonstrated

    The asset record already holds the part number, the specification and the site constraints, which is most of what a requirement has to say. The system could write the requirement itself.

    Basis. As PR-OPS-TRIGGER. No operational-platform operation is demonstrated inside the nine stages.

    If it does not happen. Procurement rewrites the requirement in its own template and the link back to the asset record is lost, so the operational data informs the request without shaping it.

    Why it matters. The quality of your requirements may already depend on a system procurement does not own. Ask who would notice if the asset record were wrong.

  • PR-OPS-DISCOVER · operational · Find · not demonstrated

    The system knows which supplier serviced the asset last time and what was fitted, which is a shortlist in everything but name. It could put that shortlist in front of a buyer.

    Basis. As PR-OPS-TRIGGER. No operational-platform operation is demonstrated inside the nine stages.

    If it does not happen. Sourcing teams treat supplier selection as their own decision and the operational shortlist is never consulted, so the last supplier keeps winning by habit rather than by rule.

    Why it matters. Repeat purchasing may already be decided by service history rather than by sourcing. Ask how many of your renewals were ever competitively tested.

  • PR-SELL-DISCOVER · seller · Find · not demonstrated

    The seller holds the price, the availability and the terms a buyer's agent is looking for, and is the only party that can publish them. A seller-side agent could answer a machine-readable requirement directly.

    Basis. Zero seller-side agents appear in the searched corpus, which bounds what may be claimed and does not establish that none exists.

    If it does not happen. Sellers keep waiting to be found through catalogues and salespeople, and buyer-side agents keep searching sources the seller does not control.

    Why it matters. If sellers can answer your agents directly, the supplier set stops being something you assemble and starts being something you receive. Decide now who may answer.

  • PR-SELL-EVALUATE · seller · Compare · not demonstrated

    Only the seller knows what it can flex on. A seller-side agent could revise its offer inside the window a comparison stays open, and re-enter the scoring.

    Basis. As PR-SELL-DISCOVER. The one observed case of both sides acting through machines is a platform evaluating rules each side wrote in advance, with neither side observing the other.

    If it does not happen. Offers stay fixed once submitted, and comparison remains a one-shot evaluation of what was sent rather than a live exchange.

    Why it matters. A comparison that can be answered while it is open is a different negotiation. Decide whether your evaluation is a sealed process or a conversation.

  • PR-SELL-NEGOTIATE · seller · Negotiate · not demonstrated

    The seller holds the terms it can concede and the limits it cannot, which is what a negotiation mandate would encode. Both sides could settle inside mandates set in advance.

    Basis. As PR-SELL-DISCOVER. Nothing in the evidence shows any party letting an agent agree terms on its behalf.

    If it does not happen. People on both sides keep the authority to agree, and agents prepare positions that a person still has to carry into a conversation.

    Why it matters. The constraint on negotiation speed is mandate, not capability. Decide what an agent may concede before anyone asks you to grant it.

Held in research/lateral-authority-pilot/data/proposition-register.json. No probability is estimated for any of them, here or anywhere in this research.

Every position, its source and its limits

  • Procurement agents · Need · Demonstrated

    Oracle Fusion's agentic applications begin at the need and carry it through to the order. Five of the interactions examined start here. Across the 21 interactions examined, 5 start here.

    Evidence. pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

    Limitation. This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 5 interactions that touch this stage, 2 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 2 follow a fixed rule, and 1 are not settled either way by the sources.

  • Procurement agents · Define · Demonstrated

    Globality's Glo questions the requester, defines the requirement into a concise brief and determines which suppliers reach the buyer's view. Across the 21 interactions examined, 7 start here.

    Evidence. pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

    Limitation. This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 7 interactions that touch this stage, 6 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 0 follow a fixed rule, and 1 are not settled either way by the sources.

  • Procurement agents · Find · Demonstrated

    3D Spark takes a stated requirement and returns viable suppliers for it. Promena and Resilinc reach this stage from a requirement and from a risk check. Across the 21 interactions examined, 3 arrive here.

    Evidence. pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

    Limitation. This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 3 interactions that touch this stage, 2 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 0 follow a fixed rule, and 1 are not settled either way by the sources.

  • Procurement agents · Compare · Demonstrated

    JAGGAER carries a requirement into a supplier evaluation. Levelpath and LightSource do the same from their own starting points. Across the 21 interactions examined, 1 start here and 3 arrive here.

    Evidence. pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

    Limitation. This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 4 interactions that touch this stage, 3 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 1 follow a fixed rule, and 0 are not settled either way by the sources.

  • Procurement agents · Check · Demonstrated

    Vic.ai starts at the constraint check and carries an invoice through to payment. Corcentric and VERSO also begin their work here. Across the 21 interactions examined, 4 start here and 1 arrive here.

    Evidence. pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

    Limitation. This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 5 interactions that touch this stage, 2 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 1 follow a fixed rule, and 2 are not settled either way by the sources.

  • Procurement agents · Negotiate · Demonstrated

    Workday's contract negotiation agent revises terms and passes them to an approver. Vertice and Arkestro price and re-price within this stage. Across the 21 interactions examined, 3 start here and 3 arrive here.

    Evidence. pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

    Limitation. This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 6 interactions that touch this stage, 6 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 0 follow a fixed rule, and 0 are not settled either way by the sources.

  • Procurement agents · Approve · Demonstrated

    Stampli's Billy the Bot carries a request from the need to the approval, so the approver receives a decision that has already been assembled. Across the 21 interactions examined, 7 arrive here.

    Evidence. pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

    Limitation. This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 7 interactions that touch this stage, 4 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 2 follow a fixed rule, and 1 are not settled either way by the sources.

  • Procurement agents · Order · Demonstrated

    Oracle Fusion and Vroozi both carry a request through to the order. Duvo reaches the order and works back to the approval. Across the 21 interactions examined, 1 start here and 2 arrive here.

    Evidence. pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

    Limitation. This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 3 interactions that touch this stage, 2 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 1 follow a fixed rule, and 0 are not settled either way by the sources.

  • Procurement agents · Pay · Demonstrated

    Vic.ai carries an invoice from the policy check through to payment. Moss runs the same span from the original request. Across the 21 interactions examined, 2 arrive here.

    Evidence. pressure-coordination.json, derived and frozen 2026-08-23 from the Agentic Pressure instrument. 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings; 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. Never combined with the lateral register.

    Limitation. This counts many providers together, not one product. No single offering is shown spanning the complete journey. Of the 2 interactions that touch this stage, 1 are agents making their own choices within a set aim, 1 follow a fixed rule, and 0 are not settled either way by the sources.

  • Payments · Need · Potential movement · via D-RAMPA-1

    An employee raises a request inside the spend platform. The platform reads the vendor and transaction history it already holds and proposes what the request should ask for, so the requirement reaches procurement already narrowed.

    Conditions. Requests are raised inside the spend platform rather than in a procurement system. The platform's vendor and transaction history is good enough to propose a requirement. Buyers accept a requirement the platform helped write.

    Obstacles. Nothing in the evidence shows the platform acting at the need. A person still states it. Procurement writes the requirement in its own system and the platform never sees it. The business owner, not the platform, decides what is needed.

    Status. This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

  • Payments · Define · Demonstrated · via D-RAMPA-1

    Ramp's procurement agents generate the RFx sent to suppliers, from a request that was raised inside the spend platform.

    Evidence. LA-SUP-RAMPA-EV-01 · 2026-04-29 · `procurement_power_acquired: specification` · generally available · E2-shipped-capability · source LA-SRC-018 · population B.

    Limitation. The evidence does not show the requirement going out unchanged, and it does not show Ramp deciding what the firm needs.

  • Payments · Find · Demonstrated · via D-RAMPA-1

    Ramp's procurement agents research supplier options for the request, using the vendor and transaction history the platform already holds.

    Evidence. LA-SUP-RAMPA-EV-01 · `operation` · `native_object: payment-credential`.

    Limitation. The evidence comes from Ramp's own announcement. The one named customer describes requests being routed from intake through to invoice approval, not the supplier research itself.

  • Payments · Compare · Demonstrated · via D-RAMPA-1

    Ramp can research suppliers, generate an RFx and score proposals. The employee still selects the winning supplier and the firm's stakeholders approve the purchase.

    Evidence. LA-SUP-RAMPA-EV-01 · `human_gate: required-and-evidenced` · `agenticity_level` 2.

    Limitation. The evidence does not show one Ramp agent controlling the complete process. It also does not show Ramp selecting or approving the winning supplier.

  • Payments · Order · Demonstrated · Documented, but not established as agentic

    On approval of a purchase order request, Ramp creates a virtual card whose limit is set from the order total and updates as the order value changes. Brex declines a transaction at authorisation when it breaches a configured limit or policy.

    Evidence. LA-RAMP-EV-01 · `boundary_effect: embed` · E2. LA-BREX-EV-01 · `authority_level: block` · confidence low.

    Limitation. The card executes a purchase that the buyer has already selected and approved. It does not choose the supplier or authorize the purchase. No source says who issued the instrument before, so the platform's position here cannot be read as anyone's loss.

  • Marketplaces · Find · Potential movement

    A buyer has already committed to a cloud spend figure. Buying a third-party product through the marketplace retires that commitment, so the shortlist narrows to suppliers listed there before anyone compares products.

    Conditions. The commitment rule starts to decide which suppliers reach a shortlist, not only what a channel costs. Buyers route categories beyond software through the marketplace. Procurement treats the marketplace catalogue as its supplier universe.

    Obstacles. The evidence records this as a rule that changes what a channel costs, not as an operation performed at the shortlist. Buyers can still buy anywhere and pay for the choice out of a commitment already signed. Sourcing teams keep supplier discovery in their own system.

    Status. This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

  • Marketplaces · Negotiate · Demonstrated · Documented, but not established as agentic

    A buyer states requirements in AWS Marketplace and the platform evaluates them against the seller's pre-configured rate card, then generates the private offer. Requests outside the seller's criteria go to a salesperson instead.

    Evidence. markets.json M1 · saas-acquisition EV-05 / OC-04 · 2025-11-30 · retrieved and inspected 2026-08-15 · three of M1's six links observed.

    Limitation. The marketplace sets the form an offer may take; the seller sets the prices inside it. Nothing in the evidence shows any party with authority to agree terms through an agent.

  • Marketplaces · Approve · Demonstrated · Documented, but not established as agentic

    AWS Marketplace uses channel configuration to determine whether particular purchases are routed through procurement. It does not approve the purchase for the buyer, but it can influence which approval process the buyer encounters.

    Evidence. LA-AWSM-EV-01 · bypass · E3-configured-authority. LA-AWSM-EV-02 · constrain · E2. LA-MSMP-EV-02 · constrain · E3 · 2025-02-18.

    Limitation. The pre-approval applies to two product classes that carry no invoice value. No customer is named in any of these records, so none of this is confirmed by a buyer.

  • Marketplaces · Order · Demonstrated · Documented, but not established as agentic

    After the firm's system approves, the transaction completes on AWS Marketplace and the agreement is created there programmatically. The subscription state then lives on the marketplace, and the firm's purchase order points at it.

    Evidence. LA-AWSM-EV-03 · `procurement_power_acquired: authoritative-record` · embed · E2.

    Limitation. The purchase order stays in the firm's system. Nothing shows that procurement has to consult the marketplace to do its own work.

  • Contracts · Approve · Demonstrated · Documented, but not established as agentic

    A user with the required permission can use Ironclad's API to mark an approval complete. This shows that a contract platform can sit inside the approval workflow, but the current evidence does not establish an agent making the decision.

    Evidence. LA-ICLD-EV-01 · `authority_level: approve` · `boundary_effect: embed` · E3-configured-authority · `human_gate: configurable-can-be-removed`.

    Limitation. This is an interface a permitted client can call. No agent is shown using it, so what exists is the ability to delegate rather than a delegate.

  • Systems of record · Approve · Potential movement

    A firm sets its approval threshold inside the ledger. Bills under that figure are paid without approval, and the procurement policy that describes an approval step is never reached.

    Conditions. Approval thresholds are set in the ledger rather than in the procurement system. The ledger's record becomes the record the firm reconciles against. Firms accept an approval performed through a credential rather than by a person.

    Obstacles. The documentation does not say what happens below the threshold, so nothing can be concluded about purchases under it. Procurement keeps the approval policy in its own system. Finance treats the administrator override as an exception rather than a route.

    Status. This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

  • Systems of record · Pay · Demonstrated · Documented, but not established as agentic

    An authorized administrator can pay a bill even when the configured approval process has not been completed. This shows that execution authority can sit in the financial system, but it does not show the system deciding what the approval policy should be.

    Evidence. LA-BILL-EV-01 · `authoritative_holder`: the bill, its approval state and the payment instruction · E3-configured-authority · generally available.

    Limitation. The override is available to one role. Nothing shows a bill being paid this way in practice, and the documentation is silent on what happens below the approval threshold.

  • Operational platforms · Need · Potential movement

    A maintenance system records that a pump has failed a scheduled inspection. It converts that reading into a purchase need for a replacement part, and procurement receives a requirement it did not start.

    Conditions. Operational data identifies a real purchase need rather than a fault to be repaired. The system is permitted to initiate a request. Procurement rules constrain the resulting request.

    Obstacles. Operational data is incomplete and the reading does not establish a purchase. A person must define the need before it becomes a request. Procurement refuses requests created outside its own workflow.

    Status. This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

  • Operational platforms · Define · Potential movement

    The maintenance system already holds the part number, the specification and the site constraints. It writes those into the requirement, so the request that reaches procurement is already specified.

    Conditions. Requirements can be generated from the operational event. The specification held by the operations system is current and complete. Procurement accepts a requirement it did not write.

    Obstacles. The operational record describes an asset, not a commercial requirement. Engineering or the business owner must confirm what is actually needed. Procurement rewrites the requirement in its own template and the link is lost.

    Status. This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

  • Operational platforms · Find · Potential movement

    Having written the requirement, the system looks up the suppliers approved for that part and puts a shortlist in front of the buyer, so the search starts before procurement opens a sourcing event.

    Conditions. The system can reach supplier and policy information it does not itself hold. Procurement rules constrain the resulting search. Buyers accept a shortlist assembled outside procurement.

    Obstacles. The operational platform has no access to supplier or policy information. Preferred-supplier and compliance rules live in procurement and are not exposed to it. Sourcing teams treat supplier selection as their own decision.

    Status. This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

  • Seller-side agents · Find · Potential movement

    A buyer's agent publishes a machine-readable requirement. A seller's agent reads it, decides the seller can meet it and returns a structured offer, so the seller enters the buyer's shortlist without a salesperson.

    Conditions. Buyer and seller agents exchange machine-readable requirements and offers. The buyer permits seller agents to participate. Both agents operate within defined mandates.

    Obstacles. There is no shared protocol between the two sides. The buyer refuses direct agent access to its requirements. Trust and verification requirements prevent autonomous interaction.

    Status. This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

  • Seller-side agents · Compare · Potential movement

    The buyer's agent scores three offers. The seller's agent sees that it is second on price, supplies a revised configuration and re-enters the comparison before the buyer closes it.

    Conditions. The interaction supports offers, counteroffers and constraints. The buyer's evaluation is visible to the seller in a usable form. Both agents operate within defined mandates.

    Obstacles. Sellers cannot change terms dynamically. The buyer refuses to expose an evaluation while it is still open. People retain the authority to change an offer.

    Status. This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

  • Seller-side agents · Negotiate · Potential movement

    The buyer's agent asks for a longer payment term and a volume break. The seller's agent concedes the term, refuses the break and offers a shorter commitment instead, inside a mandate each side has set in advance.

    Conditions. Both agents operate within defined mandates. The interaction supports offers, counteroffers and constraints. Each side accepts an outcome reached without a person in the exchange.

    Obstacles. People retain negotiation authority on both sides. Nothing in the evidence shows any party letting an agent agree terms on its behalf. Trust or verification requirements prevent autonomous interaction.

    Status. This is a proposition derived from the player's existing position. It is not demonstrated in the current evidence.

What this page carries from the earlier Agentic Markets chapter

  • M1, rule pre-configuration replaces interactionCarried. It is the evidence behind Marketplaces at Negotiate: a buyer states requirements, the seller's rate card is held by the platform, and the platform generates the offer.
  • M2, M3 and M4Not carried here. They remain in markets.json and on the surfaces that read it. This page admits a mechanism only where it places a named player at a stage of the buying journey.
  • The ten bottlenecksCarried as reasons rather than as a list. Proprietary demand data and switching control are why Marketplaces at Compare is empty; the negotiation mandate is why no player is shown agreeing terms through an agent.
  • The bounding finding on seller-side agentsCarried as three governed propositions with conditions, obstacles and an explicit not-demonstrated status, rather than as a caveat attached to a diagram.
  • The figure "63 qualified capability rows"Retired. It appeared twice on the earlier page and in no dataset behind it. No claim on this page uses it.

Questions this evidence answers, and questions it does not

What fills a cell?
A demonstrated cell needs a record that describes an operation at that stage, or a declared derivation that maps a named operation inside one record to it. A potential cell is a proposition with its conditions and obstacles written down. No record and no proposition, no mark.
Is a potential movement a prediction?
No. This research estimates no likelihood for any movement and none is stated here. A potential cell says a player holds an asset that could reach a stage, names what would have to be true and names what could stop it. Nothing more.
Why are the navy row and the gold rows never added together?
They are different populations and the lateral register's own separation rule bars it. The navy row is population A: 21 supported interactions across 21 distinct offerings, 14 agentic, 4 conventional, 3 unresolved. The gold rows are populations B and C of a 17-event lateral-authority register, one event per boundary-crossing rather than one per company. No total on this page spans both, and neither is combined with the 54-offering population behind Agentic Pressure.
Why is the procurement-agent row drawn in pieces?
Because it is an aggregate. Every stage of the nine is an endpoint of at least one of the 21 interactions, and no single offering is an endpoint of all nine. A continuous band would show a journey no product is evidenced to walk, so the row is drawn as separate segments that cannot be read as one provider's path.
Are these movements agentic?
Unevenly. In the procurement-native population, 14 of 21 classify as agentic coordination, 4 as conventional automation and 3 are unresolved. In the lateral register, every record behind a gold cell codes agenticity 0 except the payments preparation pass, which reaches level 2 and holds no consequential authority. No agent blocks, constrains or revokes anything anywhere in the lateral study.
What can this evidence not support?
Prevalence, share, adoption, ranking, representativeness, likelihood, or any claim about actors outside either register. The field is a map of what was found and what was proposed, not a measure of how common either is.

Positions inspected and deliberately left empty

  • Check - every lateral and watched rowNo record and no proposition places any lateral player at the constraint check. The procurement-native row does hold it: four interactions start at Check and one arrives.
  • Payments · CheckThe record's operation field mentions flagging a policy-violating request before it reaches an approver, which reads as a constraint check. The record's own span names Need, Define, Find and Compare only, and derivation D-RAMPA-1 does not code above the record.
  • Payments · ApproveThe human gate is coded required and evidenced, and the authoritative holder is the firm's own approvers. This is the position the payments movement has not entered, and the one that would matter most if it did.
  • Payments · PayNo register event codes a payments actor at Pay. It is where they already operate, so the cell carries the starting-position marker and no evidence mark.
  • Marketplaces · Compare and CheckRanking and placement inside a catalogue would be the obvious downstream move, and no record establishes it. Both bottlenecks it would rest on, proprietary demand data and switching control, are explicitly not established, the second in any arena. No line is drawn across either cell.
  • Contracts · everything but ApproveThe register establishes Approve alone, so the two-way expansion is carried by the row's direction label and not by cells. `negotiation-mandate` is not established in any arena. A contract platform appears in the procurement-native population above, and the separation rule bars using it to fill this row.
  • Systems of record · OrderThe ledger holds the bill and the payment, not the order. Nothing is drawn between Approve and Pay, because a line across Order would claim a position there.
  • Operational platforms · Compare through PayThe proposed path ends at Find. Beyond it the operations system has no asset that reaches the stage, and inventing cells to complete a path would be the one thing this prototype may not do.
  • Seller-side agents · everything but Find, Compare and NegotiateThe proposition is that a seller enters where the buyer is looking and follows the evaluation. It stops at Negotiate: approving, ordering and paying are the buyer's acts, and a seller-side agent taking them is not proposed by anything.
  • The agent-minted cardA payments platform describes an architecture in which an agent mints a virtual card scoped by spend cap, merchant category and expiry. It is E1, early access, a company blog, no customer named, population C. It may not be reported as an observation, so it holds no cell.